Design process for the generation of future education scenarios

Manetti, Alessandro, Lara-Navarra, Pablo and Sánchez-Navarro, Jordi Design process for the generation of future education scenarios. Comunicar, 2022, vol. 30, n. 73, pp. 33-44. [Journal article (Paginated)]

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English abstract

This paper brings together studies on the future and design methodologies to develop a novel proposal for prospective analysis in the field of education. We apply mixed research methods in combination with design methodologies to open up new routes for studying the evolution, impact and behaviour of trends in future scenarios. Our research is based on an analysis of qualitative data from secondary sources and interviews with experts, which we transform into quantitative data using fuzzy logic models applied to uncontrolled Internet data environments. Our goal is to verify the validity of the DEFLEXOR method, which addresses the need to identify educational opportunities based on future scenarios defined using megatrends detected in various fields. Our conclusions highlight that combining qualitative and quantitative approaches with the methodological principles of design thinking, together with automated calculations arising from creative reflection by experts, constitutes a powerful methodology for developing specific prospective studies.

Spanish abstract

El presente trabajo relaciona los estudios sobre el futuro y la disciplina del diseño para plantear una propuesta novedosa de análisis prospectivo aplicado al campo de la educación. La exploración se sustenta en el empleo de métodos mixtos de investigación, que, combinados con metodologías propias del diseño, abren nuevas vías para estudiar la evolución, impacto y comportamiento de las tendencias en escenarios futuros. La investigación se fundamenta en el análisis de datos cualitativos, provenientes de fuentes secundarias y de entrevistas con expertos, que son transformados en datos cuantitativos mediante modelos matemáticos de lógica difusa aplicados a entornos de datos no controlados de Internet. El objetivo del estudio es verificar la validez del método DEFLEXOR, cuyo desarrollo responde a la necesidad de detectar oportunidades educativas basadas en escenarios de futuro, definidos a partir de megatendencias detectadas en varios campos, con el objeto de definir una oferta académica relevante para el diseño del futuro. Las conclusiones ponen en relieve que la unión de una perspectiva integradora de métodos cualitativos y cuantitativos con los principios metodológicos del design thinking, en convivencia con el uso de cálculos automatizados a partir de la reflexión creativa de expertos, constituye un poderoso constructo metodológico para el desarrollo concreto de estudios prospectivos.

Item type: Journal article (Paginated)
Keywords: Education; studies on the future; design; mixed methods; data mining; trends; Educación; estudios sobre futuro; diseño; métodos mixtos; minería de datos; tendencias
Subjects: B. Information use and sociology of information > BJ. Communication
G. Industry, profession and education.
G. Industry, profession and education. > GH. Education.
Depositing user: Alex Ruiz
Date deposited: 09 Jan 2023 12:16
Last modified: 09 Jan 2023 12:16
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10760/43868

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