Lebăda Neagră, un risc asumat – Merită?

Sfetcu, Nicolae Lebăda Neagră, un risc asumat – Merită?, 2022 [Review]

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Alternative locations: https://doi.org/10.58679/CS21353

English abstract

Book Review: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas (2007), The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Random House, ISBN 978-1400063512 The book tackles subjects related to knowledge and ways of life, with elements of fiction and anecdotes from the author's personal life, starting from literary aspects to scientific and mathematical ones. The focus is on "our blindness to randomness, especially large deviations." The black swan theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain the disproportionate role of hard-to-predict rare events, the inconsistency of scientific methods in calculating the probability of rare events due to the nature of small probabilities, and people's biases towards uncertainty and the massive role of a rare event. Taleb suggests that businessmen use the "barbell strategy" for investing that he himself used, which consists of avoiding medium-risk investments and placing 85-90% of the money in the safest instruments available and the remaining 10- 15% in highly speculative business.

Romanian abstract

Recenzia cărții: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas (2007), The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Random House, ISBN 978-1400063512 Cartea abordează subiecte legate de cunoaștere și moduri de viață, cu elemente de ficțiune și anecdotice din viața personală a autorului, pornind de la aspecte literare până la cele științifice și matematice. Accentul este pus pe „orbirea noastră în ceea ce privește aleatorietatea, în special abaterile mari.” Teoria lebedei negre a fost dezvoltată de Nassim Nicholas Taleb pentru a explica rolul disproporționat al evenimentelor rare greu de prezis, incongruența metodelor științifice în calculul probabilității evenimentelor rare din cauza naturii probabilităților mici, și prejudecățile oamenilor față de incertitudine și rolul masiv al unui eveniment rar. Taleb propune oamenilor de afaceri dă folosească „strategia mrenei” pentru investiții pe care el însuși a folosit-o, care constă în evitarea investițiilor cu risc mediu și plasarea a 85–90% din bani în cele mai sigure instrumente disponibile și restul de 10–15% în afaceri extrem de speculative.

Item type: Review
Keywords: Lebăda Neagră, teoria Lebedei Negre, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, recenzie
Subjects: B. Information use and sociology of information > BC. Information in society.
Depositing user: Nicolae Sfetcu
Date deposited: 19 Jun 2023 12:18
Last modified: 19 Jun 2023 12:18
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10760/44403

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