Evaluating and measuring the effects of foresight on development policies in academic libraries (case study: academic libraries of Kermanshah)

Akbary, Saeideh, Moradi, Mahmoud and Shafee, Soleiman Evaluating and measuring the effects of foresight on development policies in academic libraries (case study: academic libraries of Kermanshah). Academic Librarianship and Information Research, 2023, vol. 57, n. 2, pp. 23-40. [Journal article (Paginated)]

[thumbnail of JLIB_Volume 57_Issue 2_Pages 23-40.pdf]
Preview
 Text
JLIB_Volume 57_Issue 2_Pages 23-40.pdf - Published version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial.
Download (771kB) | Preview

English abstract

Objective: The purpose of the current research was to evaluate and measure the effects of foresight on development policy in university libraries in Kermanshah using structural equation modeling. Methods: The research is applied in terms of purpose and causal in terms of descriptive nature. The statistical population includes librarians, faculty members, and managers of university libraries in Kermanshah. The research population consisted of 110 people and the sample size using the Morgan table included 86 people. The stratified sampling method was random. The method of collecting field data and the measurement tool was a researcher-made questionnaire. The validity of questionnaire was confirmed by content validity, and its reliability was calculated using Cronbach's alpha equal to 0.77. The method of data analysis was descriptive statistics and linear regression and structural equation modeling. The software used in the research was SPSS26 and Smart PLS 3.3. Results: The findings of the research show that foresight on the dimensions of development policy includes participation with a 58 percent effect, facilitating implementation with a 32 percent effect, informing with a 38 percent effect, support with a 42 percent effect and reconfiguration with a 54 percent effect. It has an impact on the development policy in academic libraries. Furthermore, the role of the moderating variable of policy was confirmed with 21 percent between the relationship among foresight and development policy. Conclusions: According to the findings of the research, which indicates the impact of foresight on the policy dimensions of the development of university libraries, it can be concluded that the foresight is an effective factor on the development policy and its dimensions with 23 percent impact.

Item type: Journal article (Paginated)
Keywords: Foresight, Development policy, Academic libraries, Kermanshah city
Subjects: D. Libraries as physical collections. > DD. Academic libraries.
F. Management. > FZ. None of these, but in this section.
Depositing user: Maliheh Dorkhosh
Date deposited: 11 Jan 2024 18:39
Last modified: 11 Jan 2024 18:39
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10760/45293

References

Amanatidou, E. (2012). Grand challenges – A new framework forforesight evaluation? EU-SPRI Conference. Manchester.

Balaji, B. P., Vinay, M. S., & Raju, J. S. M. (2018). A policy review of public libraries in India. Working paper. Bengaluru: Indian Institute for Human Settlements. http://eprints.rclis.org/33242/

DaCosta, O., Warnke, P., Cagnin, C. & Scapolo, F. (2008). The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process. Technology Analysis& Strategic Management, 20(3), 369–387. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320802000146

Ebrahimi, R., Riahinia, N., Vahid, M. & Akhshik, S. S. (2020). Content analysis of policy documents in Iran's public libraries. Research on Information Science and Public Libraries, 26(1), 159-195. (In Persian)

Farasatkhah, M. (2013). A Conceptual framework for futurity-oriented university planning. Quarterly Journal of Research and Planning in Higher Education, 19(3), 1-21. (In Persian)

Georghiou, L, Keenan, M. (2008). Evaluation and impact of foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

GhaziNouri, S. (2012). Science, Technology and Innovation. Tarbiat Modares University. (In Persian)

Glenn, J. C., Gordon, T. C. & Florescu, E. (2017). State of the future 2015-16. Millennium Project.

Hariri, N. & Rezaei, V. (2017). Foresighting information technology in university libraries of Iran in the 1404, Journal of Knowledge Studies, 10(39), 107-120. (In Persian)

Havas, A., Schartinger, D. & Weber, M. (2010). The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making: recent experiences and future perspective. Research Evaluation, 2(4), 91–104. https://doi.org/10.3152/095820210X510133

Heidari, A. (2016). Designing a Future Based Pattern for Codification of Technology Policy White Papers in Iran. Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, Imam Khomeini International University. (In Persian)

Jaeger, P. T., Gorham, U., Sarin, L. C. & Bertot, J. C. (2013). Libraries, policy, and politics in a democracy: Four historical epochs. Library Quarterly, 83(2), 166–181. https://doi.org/10.1086/669559

Leuz, C. & Oberholzer-Gee, F. (2006). Political relationships, global financing and corporate transparency: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Financial Economics, 18(2), 411-439. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.06.006

Loveridge, D., Cuhls, K. & Keenan, M.N.M. (2001). The practice of national Foresight programs. A new analytical framework. Ideas in Progress, 23(3), 31-46.

Martin, B. (2010). The origins of the concept of ‘foresight’ in science and technology. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 77, 1438-1447. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.009

Mohamad Esmaeil, S. & Rahimi Nejad, Z. (2008). Policies and guidelines for the development of electronic resources of universities. Book of the Month, 11(12), 20-27. (In Persian)


Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item
Contact us
Send email Sponsors
Sponsor: AIMS Sponsor: D&P Sponsor: UniNa CAB Get connected
Facebook Facebook Twitter Twitter Linkedin LinkedIn RSS RSS